Friday, March 27, 2009

$6,000 housing grant and more...

Here is a link to SL and Davis County monthly numbers. Interesting to compare it to last year. Numbers are up in Feb but down from last year. CLICK HERE.


In a nut shell, 1600+ people will get to use this grant. Considering in SL County we are only selling about 2000 TOTAL units a quarter, I see the grant lasting well into December... I could be wrong... I have been before... Duke just lost.

Monday, January 26, 2009

2009 to be a great year.

Mark Zandi: Recession to end September 2009

In a speech to Utah business leaders, Mark Zandi, chief economist and co-founder of Moody’s, said he expects the U.S. recession to end Sept. 15, 2009. Although he said 2009 would be “painful” and 2010 would be “uncomfortable,” he ended his speech with some reasons for optimism. First, the U.S. is paying a lot less for energy, and even though we have probably seen the low in regard to energy prices, he said he doesn’t expect prices to rise significantly in the near term.

Zandi's second reason for optimism is the fact that housing is becoming much more affordable. Nationally, he expects home prices to bottom in the third quarter; however, in the Salt Lake area, he expects prices to continue to fall. The problem in Salt Lake is that both the house price-to-income and house price-to-rent ratios are still above their historical norms. In other areas around the state, however, Zandi’s analysis pointed to more correctly valued prices. “In fact, in markets where you do see affordability, prices are stabilizing,” Zandi said.

Finally, Zandi is optimistic because he expects help from the federal government. The proposed fiscal stimulus and foreclosure mitigation programs along with aggressive efforts from the Federal Reserve should bring the U.S. out of recession. “We’re going to get out of this mess, and we’re going to get out of it by next year,” he said.

See Zandi’s presentation on the Salt Lake Chamber’s Web site.

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

2009 REI Forecast

The good news is we are not all going die. 92% of Americans will keep their job. The Giants will not win the Super Bowl. The Utes will dominate on Jan 2. Follow the link and enjoy.

Friday, November 14, 2008

Salt Lake County Looking Good!

Daily Real Estate News November 14, 2008

Best Places to Sell a Suburban Home Sellers' markets are rare this year, but there are some suburban areas where prices are holding steady or rising and time on the market is measured in days or months, not years.

Forbes magazine took a look at the 90 days of sales activity in the 75 largest Census-defined metro areas. It narrowed its search to those communities with at least 75 homes on the market, and eliminated suburbs where it takes more than 125 days to sell an average home. The magazine also cut out any suburb in which year-over-hear price declines were greater than 10 percent and where more than 50 percent of sellers had to reduce their asking price to sell.What’s left? A list of the top 10 suburban markets where properties are selling at competitive prices relatively rapidly.

Berkeley, Calif.: 14 miles north of San Francisco; median home price, $799,986; 73 days
Bedford, Texas: 22 miles west of Dallas; $169,093; 84 days
Venice, Calif.: 16 miles west of Los Angeles; $1.5 million; 95 days
Kennesaw, Ga.: 28 miles northwest of Atlanta; $241,196; 104 days
Sugarland, Texas: 20 miles southwest of Houston; $265,418; 106 days
Midvale, Utah: 13 miles south of Salt Lake City; $255,003; 106 days
Matthews, N.C.: 12 miles southeast of Charlotte; $320,990; 127 days
Encinitas, Calif.: 28 miles north of San Diego; $1.23 million; 100 days
Waltham, Mass.: 26 miles west of Boston; $790,986; 79 days
Montclair, N.J.: 13 miles west of New York City; $450,761; 115 days

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Obama Victory: What It Means for Real Estate

With the election of Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) as president of the United States, and gains by Democrats in U.S. House and Senate races, one big questions is on many REALTORS®' minds: How will the new government leadership affect the housing industry's ability to move forward with its top legislative goals?

“We’re in a good place,” says 2009 NAR President Charles McMillan. “REALTORS® are excited by this historic election and stand ready to work with our new president and the new Congress on issues that are at the heart of the American dream of homeownership.”

The availability of affordable mortgage financing and affordable health insurance top REALTORS®’ legislative priority list; more important, those issues are also priorities for both major parties.

“There is no partisan divide when it comes to homeownership, strong communities, affordable health insurance, and strong commercial real estate markets,” McMillan says.

Bipartisan Election Support

NAR provided election support through the REALTORS® Political Action Committee (RPAC) to more than 400 candidates, with just slightly more than half of its funds going to Democrats. The small difference in support reflects the larger number of Democrats in the outgoing 110th Congress. “Ours is the most bipartisan PAC in the country,” says RPAC Chair Larry Edwards.

The PAC provided more than $4 million directly to candidates in the general election. Another several million dollars went toward helping about 74 candidates through the NAR Opportunity Race program and a half dozen candidates through the association’s Independent Expenditure program. All told, NAR was expected to spend up to $16 million total in the two-year cycle that ended with the Nov. 4 elections.

In an Opportunity Race, NAR sends educational and get-out-the vote materials in support of an RPAC-backed candidate in the candidate’s district. Independent Expenditures are aimed at the general public and fund radio, TV, and direct mail ads to explain issues of concern to the real estate industry.

REALTOR® Victories in Congress

Rep. Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.). A member of the House Financial Services Committee, Capito was one of REALTORS®’ big winners, overcoming a stiff challenge to win a fifth term. Capito has been a strong advocate for NAR-backed small business health insurance coverage and helped pass FHA reform, the first-time homebuyer tax credit, and expansion of homeownership opportunities for U.S. veterans.

Jerry McNerney (D-Calif.). This freshman lawmaker who played a key role in Congress to increase conforming loan limits, eked out a narrow victory in a fiercely contested race. “Rep. McNerney made his mark quickly as a strong advocate for FHA reform, the home buyer tax credit, and expanded homeownership opportunities for veterans,” says NAR Chief Lobbyist Jerry Giovaniello.

Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D-Pa.). Kanjorski, who authored legislation to keep banks out of real estate, surprised pundits and pollsters, beating out Republican challenger Lou Barletta, the mayor of Hazleton, Pa. “Rep. Kanjorski has been a courageous leader on our behalf,” says NAR’s McMillan. “We’re proud of our support for him.”

Not all of NAR’s efforts to help REALTOR®-friendly lawmakers succeeded. Rep. Chris Shays (R-Conn.), a veteran lawmaker on the pivotal House Financial Services Committee, lost a hard-fought campaign. Shays helped pass housing stimulus legislation this year and has been a steady supporter of NAR-backed legislation to keep banks out of real estate.

Shays was defeated by Democrat Jim Himes, a former Goldman Sachs vice president who went on to become an executive with Enterprise Community Partners, a leader in affordable housing and community development.

Expect Renewed Focus on Fannie, Freddie

NAR analysts say REALTORS® can expect the Obama Administration and the new Congress to focus first and foremost on regulatory reform of the country’s financial services industry.

Lawmakers will be looking at what went wrong and what needs to change to ensure proper regulation of mortgage- and other asset-backed securities.

A large part of this review will focus on potential changes to secondary mortgage market companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which are under government conservatorship. Among the options on the table: folding them entirely into the government, making them 100-percent privatized companies, or keeping them as public-private hybrids.

NAR has formed a presidential advisory group (PAG) on the future of Fannie and Freddie, and the association will be weighing in as Congress takes on the issue, NAR analysts say.

Friday, October 24, 2008

Existing Home Sales Jump 5.5% in September

WASHINGTON--While the housing market continues to suffer, September’s existing home sales report showed some signs of a market bottom.

The National Association of Realtors said Friday that existing home sales rose to a 5.18 million annual rate, up 5.5% from August’s number. Meanwhile, the median price for a home continued to fall, dropping 9.0% to $191,600.

Economists were expecting existing home sales to come in at a 4.97 million annual rate, according to data provided by Thomson Reuters.

Probably the best indicator that came out of the housing report was home inventories. The association said the supply of homes dropped from a 10.6-month supply of homes to a 9.9-month supply of homes. It’s the second month that the supply of homes has decreased. In order for home prices to stabilize, economists have noted that the supply of homes has to decrease.

NAR economist Lawrence Yun said the increase in home sales is “a nice jump.”

One month’s change in existing home sales is not a trend, economists warned, and several months of figures similar to September’s number would be required before analysts will call a housing market bottom.

“If this continues, people will stop expecting further price falls and activity will start to recover,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist with High Frequency Economics, in a research note.

Shepherdson noted that the bulk of the sales done in September were distressed sales primarily influenced by bottom-fishing.

“Most, if not all, the rise in sales is due to vulture investors buying cheap foreclosed homes, but all sales reduce inventory,” he said.

The average 30-year mortgage rate fell from 6.48% to 6.04% in September.

taken from